CSA vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
CSA
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
NAU
51%
27%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
CSA
23%
30%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
3 - 0
COT
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CON
0 - 2
CSA
32%
29%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
AVA
24%
30%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 2
VIL
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIT
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
VIL
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 0
VIL
68%
22%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |