CSA vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CEO
0 - 1
CSA
10%
20%
70%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 2
SAO
23%
28%
48%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 0
CSA
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 2
BAH
26%
28%
45%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 1
CSA
70%
21%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
ACA
90%
9%
2%
|
74 | 28 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
25%
24%
50%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 1
PPE
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |