Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-3
CSA vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
58%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 1
CSA
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CSA
1 - 3
SPO
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
CSA
1 - 0
BRU
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
CSA
11%
22%
67%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CSA
0 - 0
CRB
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 1
FLA
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 0
MET
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
SCI
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 1
CSA
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
SCI
22%
28%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |