CSA vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
CSA
11%
22%
67%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CSA
0 - 0
CRB
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
0 - 1
CSA
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
CSA
7%
19%
74%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
CSA
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BRU
3 - 2
FFL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
BRU
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
CAM
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
BRU
28%
26%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
BRU
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |