Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanța analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
3º
2º
36
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
STB
2 - 0
CSU
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CSU
0 - 1
GAL
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CSU
2 - 1
RAP
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 2
CSU
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 2
CSU
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
STB
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 2
SFC
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SFC
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
CLU
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |