Copa Do Brasil U20 Last 16
Global 4-3
Cruzeiro Sub 17 vs Athletico PR Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
59.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
SRR
1 - 6
CRU
7%
12%
81%
|
37 | 5 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 1
CRU
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 0
FLA
16%
18%
66%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
CRU
3 - 1
RFE
67%
17%
15%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
RFE
2 - 2
CRU
17%
18%
66%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico PR Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ATH
6 - 0
NFC
83%
12%
6%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
ATH
4 - 3
PAL
30%
21%
48%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATH
49%
21%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 1
ATH
7%
12%
81%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ATH
3 - 0
CRB
83%
12%
6%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |