Cruzeiro vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 1
UBE
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 3
CRZ
29%
27%
43%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
DEM
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
23%
67%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
CRZ
0 - 2
AMF
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
URT
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
UBE
0 - 0
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
DEM
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |