Cruzeiro vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
23%
67%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
CRZ
0 - 2
AMF
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 1
CRZ
8%
17%
75%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
CRZ
3 - 0
URT
82%
14%
5%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 0
NAU
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 0
POA
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
DEM
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
AMF
2 - 0
DEM
82%
14%
4%
|
44 | 82 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 1
PAT
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
DEM
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |