Cruzeiro vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 3
ATM
32%
28%
41%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
UCE
0 - 0
CRZ
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 2
CRZ
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CRZ
3 - 1
TOM
68%
21%
12%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
0 - 0
CRZ
23%
27%
50%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 0
ALI
30%
30%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
ULC
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 2
TOL
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 0
ALI
46%
28%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
PAS
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |