Croatia U21 vs Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
POR
5 - 1
CRO
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
AND
0 - 3
CRO
4%
9%
88%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
BLR
0 - 1
CRO
7%
15%
78%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SVK
2 - 2
CRO
36%
23%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 0
BLR
84%
12%
5%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SMR
0 - 7
IRL
10%
18%
72%
|
60 | 12 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IRL
2 - 2
ITA
16%
22%
63%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 2
IRL
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LVA
1 - 2
IRL
11%
20%
70%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
IRL
3 - 0
SMR
82%
13%
5%
|
60 | 13 | 47 | 0 |