Criciúma vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
VOL
0 - 0
CRI
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CRI
0 - 1
TOM
45%
29%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
CRI
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
BOA
2 - 0
CRI
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
CRI
2 - 1
LON
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ECS
0 - 1
ITU
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
ITU
3 - 1
BRU
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LON
1 - 0
ITU
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
ITU
2 - 0
VOL
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TOM
0 - 0
ITU
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |