Criciúma vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CRI
3 - 1
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 1
CRI
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 0
OES
32%
25%
44%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
2 - 1
CRI
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 2
CHA
7%
17%
76%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
MET
80%
15%
5%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
CHA
13%
22%
65%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
ULC
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |