Creetown vs Whitehill Welfare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
76.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whitehill Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WHI
1 - 4
CAM
48%
21%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
IHS
4 - 2
WHI
81%
12%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
WHI
2 - 3
TYN
28%
21%
52%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
WHI
1 - 1
CRO
16%
17%
66%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
WHI
73%
15%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |