CRB vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
CRB
13%
21%
66%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
CRB
3 - 0
CSE
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
CRB
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 2
CRB
9%
19%
72%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CRB
3 - 1
CSA
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
CEA
3 - 2
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 0
SAM
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
CEA
17%
26%
57%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 1
MAR
87%
11%
3%
|
83 | 37 | 46 | 0 |