CRAC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
67.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 0
APA
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
JAT
2 - 1
CRA
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 2
CAS
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 0
CRA
34%
30%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 2
XVD
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 0
VIL
12%
22%
66%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
GIO
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 36 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ABC
3 - 2
VIL
26%
29%
45%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
CEA
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 1
LON
52%
28%
20%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |