Coritiba vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 1
COT
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
COT
1 - 1
CSA
57%
26%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FFL
2 - 2
COT
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
COT
2 - 1
JUV
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
AVA
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
OES
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BOA
2 - 1
GUA
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 2
AVA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
32%
30%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
GUA
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |