Corinthians vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
VAS
2 - 5
COR
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
COR
18%
25%
56%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
COR
28%
26%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
COR
1 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 0
VIT
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAL
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |