Corinthians vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
COR
14%
28%
58%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
13%
28%
59%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 0
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
GUA
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAL
8%
20%
72%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 0
INT
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 2
PAL
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 3
FLA
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |