Corinthians vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
HUA
0 - 3
COR
32%
29%
39%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
COR
2 - 2
SAO
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
COR
0 - 2
PEÑ
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 0
COR
27%
28%
46%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 2
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
NOV
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
NOV
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAN
15%
23%
63%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |