Corinthians vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.3%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
COR
18%
26%
56%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
AGU
2 - 1
COR
10%
21%
69%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
COR
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
COR
2 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ITU
0 - 2
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
ITU
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ITU
2 - 0
SAN
13%
23%
64%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ITU
1 - 0
PPE
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
ITU
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |