Corinthians vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
TIJ
1 - 0
COR
34%
29%
36%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
MIL
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 2
COR
31%
29%
40%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITU
55%
22%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
46%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 2
ITU
80%
15%
6%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
3 - 3
PPE
21%
24%
56%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MOG
0 - 1
ITU
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |