Corinthians vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 1
COR
17%
29%
53%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
COR
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
COR
5 - 0
PPE
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
COR
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
VIL
52%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
GUA
84%
12%
4%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
CMA
0 - 1
GUA
9%
16%
76%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |