Corinthians vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
COR
2 - 2
CRZ
46%
28%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
GRE
44%
28%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
CRZ
0 - 2
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
BAH
1 - 0
COR
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
VIT
66%
22%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
58%
25%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
BAH
3 - 3
BOT
48%
26%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
CEA
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 2
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 2
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |