Confiança vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1978 |
ITA
3 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
CON
0 - 3
VOL
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
CON
3 - 1
CSA
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
CRB
1 - 0
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
LON
0 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
GOY
2 - 0
LON
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
GOI
5 - 0
LON
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 1978 |
SAN
0 - 0
LON
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1978 |
LON
1 - 2
BOT
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |