Sergipano Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Confiança vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
CON
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 2
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
CON
15%
23%
63%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
CON
4 - 0
ATG
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
CON
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
DOR
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 1
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 4
MAR
32%
25%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |