Como vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.2%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
15.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.8%
52.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
19.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
CES
1 - 0
COM
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
COM
2 - 3
TOR
32%
30%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
PES
1 - 1
COM
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
COM
1 - 1
ACM
17%
30%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
PIS
3 - 1
COM
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
NAP
0 - 0
PIS
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
ASC
2 - 0
NAP
25%
30%
45%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1989 |
NAP
1 - 0
SAM
67%
21%
13%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAM
66%
21%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
50%
27%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |