Como vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
17%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
15.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
44.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
AVE
1 - 1
COM
58%
26%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
VER
0 - 0
COM
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
COM
0 - 0
TOR
25%
35%
40%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
57%
26%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
COM
1 - 0
LAZ
46%
31%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
ACM
2 - 1
ASC
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACM
31%
30%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
ACM
0 - 0
VER
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |