Comercial vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
VOT
0 - 2
COM
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
BSP
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 1
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
VEL
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
COM
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
TAU
1 - 3
SER
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
OES
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
SER
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
RBB
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
SER
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |