Comercial vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
COM
78%
15%
6%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
COM
3 - 1
AUD
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
COM
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 2
COM
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
RIO
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |