Comercial vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
PPE
3 - 0
COM
78%
16%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
PPE
14%
22%
65%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 0
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
PPE
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAT
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
BER
0 - 0
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAP
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
BER
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |