Comercial vs Inter de Limeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 2
COM
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
COM
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
COM
3 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SER
0 - 0
INT
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
INT
3 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
INT
0 - 1
XVD
24%
27%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
INT
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
INT
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |