Comercial vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
COM
7 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
COM
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
2 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 3
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |