Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 4
COC
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
COC
2 - 1
STC
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 39 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
COC
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
COC
1 - 1
NYC
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
IMI
2 - 2
COC
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Minnesota United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 3
CFS
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 4
MIN
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
LAN
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
HOD
0 - 3
MIN
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 4
AUS
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |