Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 5-2
Colón vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 2
BEL
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 1
COL
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
LAN
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 3
COL
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
GOD
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 0
IND
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ARG
0 - 2
RAC
44%
30%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 1
RAC
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 1
RAF
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 2
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |