College 1975 vs Europa Point analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
College 1975
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GLA
1 - 0
COL
54%
22%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 6
MAG
20%
24%
57%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LYN
2 - 3
COL
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
COL
0 - 3
JOS
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
LIO
54%
21%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EUR
1 - 0
CEU
7%
13%
80%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIO
1 - 3
EUR
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EUR
1 - 2
LRI
4%
11%
85%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
EUR
85%
11%
4%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GLA
3 - 1
EUR
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |