College 1975 vs Europa Point analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+154%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
8º
10º
11º
4
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
College 1975
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
COL
5 - 1
EUR
62%
19%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 1
COL
50%
22%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
LRI
5 - 0
COL
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
MAN
33%
22%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
LYN
0 - 2
COL
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
COL
5 - 1
EUR
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 4
MAN
33%
22%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LYN
0 - 2
EUR
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
EUR
1 - 1
LIO
56%
20%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
MAG
3 - 0
EUR
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |