Ciudad De Bolívar vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
5º
1º
25
7º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 2
CIB
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CIB
2 - 0
CSE
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CIB
2 - 0
FER
66%
22%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 0
CIB
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CIB
1 - 0
HHE
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 0
CDA
27%
25%
49%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CSE
4 - 1
SPE
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 2
FER
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 1
ATE
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HHE
1 - 0
SPE
42%
28%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |