Ciudad De Bolívar vs San Martín Mendoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
4º
2º
22
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 1
CIB
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CIB
2 - 1
GUT
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 1
CIB
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CIB
1 - 1
CDA
45%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CIB
3 - 1
SOL
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
JUU
28%
30%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DCM
0 - 1
SMA
43%
28%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
JUU
2 - 0
SMA
51%
28%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 1
SPE
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CIB
0 - 3
SMA
69%
20%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |