Ciudad De Bolívar vs Huracán Las Heras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
5º
1º
43
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
CIB
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CIB
2 - 1
JUU
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 3
CIB
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CIB
0 - 0
CDA
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CSE
1 - 0
CIB
26%
27%
46%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Huracán Las Heras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
HHE
1 - 1
CDA
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
CSE
2 - 1
HHE
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
HHE
2 - 1
FER
40%
28%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ATE
2 - 1
HHE
31%
28%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
HHE
1 - 0
SMA
49%
28%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |