Ciudad De Bolívar vs Ferro General Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
4º
2º
13
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
CIB
1 - 0
JUU
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DCM
0 - 2
CIB
20%
27%
53%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
6 - 0
CIB
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CIB
1 - 0
SMA
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 1
CIB
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FER
1 - 2
GUT
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JUU
2 - 0
FER
54%
27%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FER
1 - 2
CSE
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DCM
0 - 1
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
ATE
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |