Cienciano vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
CIE
19%
23%
57%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CIE
1 - 1
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 5
CIE
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
CIE
5 - 0
HUA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
CIE
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 6
SRP
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LOS
3 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 8
LOS
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
MAN
8 - 0
WIL
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 4
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |