Cerro CA vs Central Español FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
DAN
1 - 0
CER
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CER
2 - 1
LFC
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CER
2 - 4
BVS
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ETS
0 - 2
CER
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CER
1 - 1
MWA
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BVS
1 - 1
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
DAN
4 - 2
CEN
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 3
PEÑ
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 0
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 1
CEN
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |