Ciudad de Lucena vs AD Ceuta FC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
CDL
45%
27%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDL
3 - 0
CAB
73%
18%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
CDL
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CDL
0 - 0
XER
36%
28%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
CRD
0 - 1
CDL
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
AD Ceuta FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
CDL
45%
27%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CIS
1 - 0
CAC
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
CDL
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
AYA
0 - 1
CAC
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAC
5 - 0
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |