Cibao vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
2º
1º
21
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
CFC
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 1
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MOC
1 - 1
CFC
35%
29%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
MOC
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 2
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
4 - 1
AVR
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 4
DEP
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 0
JAR
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
AVR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
AVR
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |