Churchill Brothers vs TRAU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
10º
7º
13
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CHU
1 - 2
KAS
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
RAJ
2 - 0
CHU
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
RKF
1 - 3
CHU
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
NAM
0 - 0
CHU
9%
18%
73%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
6 - 3
CHU
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
TRAU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 5
SDF
23%
24%
54%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 2
GFC
20%
25%
55%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
MOH
6 - 0
TRA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RKF
1 - 0
TRA
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
DFC
1 - 1
TRA
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |