Churchill Brothers vs TRAU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
10º
6º
35
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
0 - 0
MIN
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SMF
0 - 2
CHU
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 1
MOH
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
1 - 1
AIZ
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
RKF
0 - 3
CHU
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
TRAU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 1
RAJ
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
NER
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 0
MIN
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
RKF
3 - 2
TRA
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MOH
1 - 0
TRA
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |