Churchill Brothers vs Neroca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
10º
6º
25
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 0
CHU
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
6 - 1
TRA
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
0 - 0
MIN
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SMF
0 - 2
CHU
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 1
MOH
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
3 - 1
NER
72%
18%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
SDF
13%
20%
67%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 0
NER
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
NER
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
AIZ
1 - 0
NER
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |