Churchill Brothers vs Kenkre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
10º
6º
17
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CHU
0 - 1
GFC
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
TRA
3 - 2
CHU
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
MOH
1 - 2
CHU
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SDF
3 - 0
CHU
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
CHU
1 - 0
SMF
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Kenkre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KEN
0 - 0
RAJ
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
KEN
1 - 3
SMF
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
NER
1 - 0
KEN
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
KEN
3 - 3
MIN
15%
22%
63%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 0
KEN
78%
16%
7%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |