Universitario vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
10º
10º
26
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 1
CHO
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 2
CHO
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 2
TAU
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 3
COS
39%
27%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
UME
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SFF
2 - 0
AMA
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
AMA
49%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 1
SUN
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 2
AZU
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |