CONCACAF League Last 16
Global 2-3
Universitario vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHO
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AZU
1 - 2
CHO
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 3
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
CHO
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
2 - 2
MOT
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 1
VID
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
RES
2 - 1
MOT
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 3
MOT
16%
23%
61%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 0
JAG
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |